Defence vs Position

DvP Rankings

Teams in red concede more — good OVER targets. Teams in green concede fewer — tilt toward UNDERs. ↑↓→ trend vs season avg. LOW n = fewer than 4 games sampled.

Round 7 · Key Matchups

Zak Butters

PTA vs GEE · MIDMID Outside

OVER 23.5

E/V 1.17 · DvP #15

GEE concede -6% vs league avg to MIDs — tough matchup

Callum Wilkie

STK vs WCE · DEFDEF Ball User

OVER 23.5

E/V 1.03 · DvP #6

WCE concede +6% vs league avg to DEFs — favourable OVER matchup

Nick Daicos

COL vs ESS · MIDMID Outside

OVER 33.5

E/V 0.97 · DvP #8

ESS concede +3% vs league avg to MIDs — favourable OVER matchup

Brodie Grundy

SYD vs WBD · RUCK

UNDER 23.5

E/V 0.94 · DvP #1

WBD concede +15% vs league avg to RUCKs — favourable OVER matchup

Patrick Dangerfield

GEE vs PTA · MIDMID Outside

UNDER 18.5

E/V 0.88 · DvP #13

PTA concede -3% vs league avg to MIDs — tough matchup

Luke Jackson

FRE vs CAR · RUCK

UNDER 20.5

E/V 0.87 · DvP #13

CAR concede -2% vs league avg to RUCKs — tough matchup

OVER

UNDER

Team	MID Avg ↓	DEF Avg	FWD Avg	RUCK Avg	Disposal Index
Western Bulldogs WBD	23.6#1↑ +18% vs avg	19.4#3↑ +8% vs avg	13.5#3↑ +13% vs avg	13.8#1↑ +15% vs avg	-40
North Melbourne NTH	22.8#2↑ +14% vs avg	19.8#2↑ +10% vs avg	13.8#2↑ +15% vs avg	13.6#2↑ +13% vs avg	-25
West Coast Eagles WCE	22.4#3↑ +12% vs avg	19.1#6→ +6% vs avg	13.2#4↑ +10% vs avg	13.0#5↑ +8% vs avg	-35
Carlton CAR	22.2#4↑ +11% vs avg	18.9#7→ +5% vs avg	13.1#5↑ +9% vs avg	11.8#13→ -2% vs avg	+15
Brisbane Lions BRL	21.4#5↑ +7% vs avg	17.6#15→ -2% vs avg	12.8#6↑ +7% vs avg	13.2#3↑ +10% vs avg	+18
Richmond RCE	21.0#6→ +5% vs avg	18.6#9→ +3% vs avg	12.5#7→ +4% vs avg	12.3#8→ +3% vs avg	-15
Gold Coast Suns GCS	20.8#7→ +4% vs avg	18.5#8→ +3% vs avg	12.3#8→ +3% vs avg	12.6#6→ +5% vs avg	+5
Essendon ESS	20.6#8→ +3% vs avg	17.1#18→ -5% vs avg	11.4#16→ -5% vs avg	12.0#11→ +0% vs avg	-30
St Kilda STK	20.4#9→ +2% vs avg	18.1#12→ +1% vs avg	12.0#10→ +0% vs avg	12.1#10→ +1% vs avg	-5
Hawthorn HAW	20.2#10→ +1% vs avg	18.3#10→ +2% vs avg	12.1#9→ +1% vs avg	12.2#9→ +2% vs avg	+10
Adelaide ADE	19.8#11→ -1% vs avg	18.2#11→ +1% vs avg	11.9#11→ -1% vs avg	12.4#7→ +3% vs avg	-12
Melbourne MEL	19.5#12→ -2% vs avg	17.8#13→ -1% vs avg	11.8#12→ -2% vs avg	11.6#15→ -3% vs avg	+25
Port Adelaide PTA	19.4#13→ -3% vs avg	17.9#14→ -1% vs avg	11.7#13→ -2% vs avg	12.0#12→ +0% vs avg	+8
Fremantle FRE	19.2#14→ -4% vs avg	17.5#16→ -3% vs avg	11.6#14→ -3% vs avg	11.5#16→ -4% vs avg	-8
Geelong GEE	18.8#15→ -6% vs avg	17.2#17→ -4% vs avg	11.5#15→ -4% vs avg	11.2#17↓ -7% vs avg	-20
Collingwood COL	18.2#16↓ -9% vs avg	19.2#4↑ +7% vs avg	13.8#1↑ +15% vs avg	13.0#4↑ +8% vs avg	+53
Sydney Swans SYD	18.0#17↓ -10% vs avg	20.2#1↑ +12% vs avg	11.0#18↓ -8% vs avg	9.8#18↓ -18% vs avg	+22
GWS Giants GWS	17.6#18↓ -12% vs avg	19.3#5↑ +7% vs avg	11.2#17↓ -7% vs avg	11.8#14→ -2% vs avg	-55

Data based on 6rounds sampled. Rank #1–6 = easy matchup (green). Rank #13–18 = hard (red). ↑↓ trend derived from season avg deviation. LOW n = <4 games — insufficient sample to act on.

Defence vs Position

DvP Rankings

Teams in red concede more — good OVER targets. Teams in green concede fewer — tilt toward UNDERs. ↑↓→ trend vs season avg. LOW n = fewer than 4 games sampled.

Round 7 · Key Matchups

Zak Butters

PTA vs GEE · MIDMID Outside

OVER 23.5

E/V 1.17 · DvP #15

GEE concede -6% vs league avg to MIDs — tough matchup

Callum Wilkie

STK vs WCE · DEFDEF Ball User

OVER 23.5

E/V 1.03 · DvP #6

WCE concede +6% vs league avg to DEFs — favourable OVER matchup

Nick Daicos

COL vs ESS · MIDMID Outside

OVER 33.5

E/V 0.97 · DvP #8

ESS concede +3% vs league avg to MIDs — favourable OVER matchup

Brodie Grundy

SYD vs WBD · RUCK

UNDER 23.5

E/V 0.94 · DvP #1

WBD concede +15% vs league avg to RUCKs — favourable OVER matchup

Patrick Dangerfield

GEE vs PTA · MIDMID Outside

UNDER 18.5

E/V 0.88 · DvP #13

PTA concede -3% vs league avg to MIDs — tough matchup

Luke Jackson

FRE vs CAR · RUCK

UNDER 20.5

E/V 0.87 · DvP #13

CAR concede -2% vs league avg to RUCKs — tough matchup

OVER

UNDER

Team	MID Avg ↓	DEF Avg	FWD Avg	RUCK Avg	Disposal Index
Western Bulldogs WBD	23.6#1↑ +18% vs avg	19.4#3↑ +8% vs avg	13.5#3↑ +13% vs avg	13.8#1↑ +15% vs avg	-40
North Melbourne NTH	22.8#2↑ +14% vs avg	19.8#2↑ +10% vs avg	13.8#2↑ +15% vs avg	13.6#2↑ +13% vs avg	-25
West Coast Eagles WCE	22.4#3↑ +12% vs avg	19.1#6→ +6% vs avg	13.2#4↑ +10% vs avg	13.0#5↑ +8% vs avg	-35
Carlton CAR	22.2#4↑ +11% vs avg	18.9#7→ +5% vs avg	13.1#5↑ +9% vs avg	11.8#13→ -2% vs avg	+15
Brisbane Lions BRL	21.4#5↑ +7% vs avg	17.6#15→ -2% vs avg	12.8#6↑ +7% vs avg	13.2#3↑ +10% vs avg	+18
Richmond RCE	21.0#6→ +5% vs avg	18.6#9→ +3% vs avg	12.5#7→ +4% vs avg	12.3#8→ +3% vs avg	-15
Gold Coast Suns GCS	20.8#7→ +4% vs avg	18.5#8→ +3% vs avg	12.3#8→ +3% vs avg	12.6#6→ +5% vs avg	+5
Essendon ESS	20.6#8→ +3% vs avg	17.1#18→ -5% vs avg	11.4#16→ -5% vs avg	12.0#11→ +0% vs avg	-30
St Kilda STK	20.4#9→ +2% vs avg	18.1#12→ +1% vs avg	12.0#10→ +0% vs avg	12.1#10→ +1% vs avg	-5
Hawthorn HAW	20.2#10→ +1% vs avg	18.3#10→ +2% vs avg	12.1#9→ +1% vs avg	12.2#9→ +2% vs avg	+10
Adelaide ADE	19.8#11→ -1% vs avg	18.2#11→ +1% vs avg	11.9#11→ -1% vs avg	12.4#7→ +3% vs avg	-12
Melbourne MEL	19.5#12→ -2% vs avg	17.8#13→ -1% vs avg	11.8#12→ -2% vs avg	11.6#15→ -3% vs avg	+25
Port Adelaide PTA	19.4#13→ -3% vs avg	17.9#14→ -1% vs avg	11.7#13→ -2% vs avg	12.0#12→ +0% vs avg	+8
Fremantle FRE	19.2#14→ -4% vs avg	17.5#16→ -3% vs avg	11.6#14→ -3% vs avg	11.5#16→ -4% vs avg	-8
Geelong GEE	18.8#15→ -6% vs avg	17.2#17→ -4% vs avg	11.5#15→ -4% vs avg	11.2#17↓ -7% vs avg	-20
Collingwood COL	18.2#16↓ -9% vs avg	19.2#4↑ +7% vs avg	13.8#1↑ +15% vs avg	13.0#4↑ +8% vs avg	+53
Sydney Swans SYD	18.0#17↓ -10% vs avg	20.2#1↑ +12% vs avg	11.0#18↓ -8% vs avg	9.8#18↓ -18% vs avg	+22
GWS Giants GWS	17.6#18↓ -12% vs avg	19.3#5↑ +7% vs avg	11.2#17↓ -7% vs avg	11.8#14→ -2% vs avg	-55

Data based on 6rounds sampled. Rank #1–6 = easy matchup (green). Rank #13–18 = hard (red). ↑↓ trend derived from season avg deviation. LOW n = <4 games — insufficient sample to act on.