Round 6 Complete — 88W / 67L (56.8%)

Round 7 picks publish Tuesday · Results logged below

COMPLETE

⚠ Round 6 has concluded. Results will be logged shortly. Round 7 picks will be published Tuesday.

SportSphere HQ provides model outputs for analytical purposes only. Not financial or betting advice. 18+ only. Gamble responsibly.

Round 6 Analysis

AFL player disposal props · 2026 · Generated 17 Apr 2026 · Sorted by conviction score

Predictions last verified against team news: 17 Apr 2026

Total Picks

High Conv.

Actionable

7/3

OVER/UNDER

E/V ≥ 0.90

High Conviction — top tier picks

SHARP

E/V 0.70–0.89

Sharp edge — strong value picks

BET

E/V 0.50–0.69

Actionable edge — good value

SKIP

E/V < 0.50

Below threshold — shown for reference

10 of 10 picks

Brodie Grundy

SYD vs GWS

SCG · RUCK

Line

21.5

Model

Edge

-5.5

E/Vⓘ

1.15

Matchup

★★★★☆

UNDER ⬇

Lachie Ash

GWS vs SYD

SCG · DEF

Line

27.5

Model

31.3

Edge

+3.8

E/Vⓘ

1.11

Matchup

★★★★☆

OVER ⬆

Lachie Whitfield

GWS vs SYD

SCG · DEF

Line

27.5

Model

31.1

Edge

+3.6

E/Vⓘ

0.99

Matchup

★★★★☆

OVER ⬆

Angus Sheldrick

SYD vs GWS

SCG · MID

Line

23.5

Model

18.8

Edge

-4.7

E/Vⓘ

0.94

Matchup

★★★★☆

UNDER ⬇

Connor Idun

GWS vs SYD

SCG · DEF

Line

18.5

Model

22.5

Edge

E/Vⓘ

0.93

Matchup

★★★★☆

OVER ⬆

Scott Pendlebury

COL vs CAR

MCG · MID

Line

21.5

Model

16.7

Edge

-4.8

E/Vⓘ

0.83

Matchup

★★★★☆

UNDER ⬇

Nick Daicos

COL vs CAR

MCG · MID

Line

30.5

Model

35.1

Edge

+4.6

E/Vⓘ

0.80

Matchup

★★★★☆

OVER ⬆

Tom McCartin

SYD vs GWS

SCG · DEF

Line

16.5

Model

Edge

+3.5

E/Vⓘ

0.77

Matchup

★★★★☆

OVER ⬆

Nick Blakey

SYD vs GWS

SCG · DEF

Line

21.5

Model

24.6

Edge

+3.1

E/Vⓘ

0.63

Matchup

★★★★☆

OVER ⬆

Bailey Smith

GEE vs WBD

GMHBA Stadium · MID

Line

31.5

Model

Edge

+3.5

E/Vⓘ

0.62

Matchup

★★★★☆

OVER ⬆

Analytics only · Not financial advice · Edge/Vol ≥ 0.50 filter applied · FWDs excluded from bet filter

Round 6 Complete — 88W / 67L (56.8%)

Round 7 picks publish Tuesday · Results logged below

COMPLETE

⚠ Round 6 has concluded. Results will be logged shortly. Round 7 picks will be published Tuesday.

SportSphere HQ provides model outputs for analytical purposes only. Not financial or betting advice. 18+ only. Gamble responsibly.

Round 6 Analysis

AFL player disposal props · 2026 · Generated 17 Apr 2026 · Sorted by conviction score

Predictions last verified against team news: 17 Apr 2026

Total Picks

High Conv.

Actionable

7/3

OVER/UNDER

E/V ≥ 0.90

High Conviction — top tier picks

SHARP

E/V 0.70–0.89

Sharp edge — strong value picks

BET

E/V 0.50–0.69

Actionable edge — good value

SKIP

E/V < 0.50

Below threshold — shown for reference

10 of 10 picks

Brodie Grundy

SYD vs GWS

SCG · RUCK

Line

21.5

Model

Edge

-5.5

E/Vⓘ

1.15

Matchup

★★★★☆

UNDER ⬇

Lachie Ash

GWS vs SYD

SCG · DEF

Line

27.5

Model

31.3

Edge

+3.8

E/Vⓘ

1.11

Matchup

★★★★☆

OVER ⬆

Lachie Whitfield

GWS vs SYD

SCG · DEF

Line

27.5

Model

31.1

Edge

+3.6

E/Vⓘ

0.99

Matchup

★★★★☆

OVER ⬆

Angus Sheldrick

SYD vs GWS

SCG · MID

Line

23.5

Model

18.8

Edge

-4.7

E/Vⓘ

0.94

Matchup

★★★★☆

UNDER ⬇

Connor Idun

GWS vs SYD

SCG · DEF

Line

18.5

Model

22.5

Edge

E/Vⓘ

0.93

Matchup

★★★★☆

OVER ⬆

Scott Pendlebury

COL vs CAR

MCG · MID

Line

21.5

Model

16.7

Edge

-4.8

E/Vⓘ

0.83

Matchup

★★★★☆

UNDER ⬇

Nick Daicos

COL vs CAR

MCG · MID

Line

30.5

Model

35.1

Edge

+4.6

E/Vⓘ

0.80

Matchup

★★★★☆

OVER ⬆

Tom McCartin

SYD vs GWS

SCG · DEF

Line

16.5

Model

Edge

+3.5

E/Vⓘ

0.77

Matchup

★★★★☆

OVER ⬆

Nick Blakey

SYD vs GWS

SCG · DEF

Line

21.5

Model

24.6

Edge

+3.1

E/Vⓘ

0.63

Matchup

★★★★☆

OVER ⬆

Bailey Smith

GEE vs WBD

GMHBA Stadium · MID

Line

31.5

Model

Edge

+3.5

E/Vⓘ

0.62

Matchup

★★★★☆

OVER ⬆

Analytics only · Not financial advice · Edge/Vol ≥ 0.50 filter applied · FWDs excluded from bet filter